Ukraine Perseveres as the US Lurches Toward Russia

Vol. 2 - March 2025 Members Newsletter

Since this post was written, the US and Ukraine have agreed to a tentative 30-day cease fire, and both are awaiting a response from Russia. In the meantime, the US says it has restarted military assistance and intelligence-sharing with Ukraine. Russia is likely to do one of two things in response to the cease fire proposal: agree to the cease fire, then ignore it and continue attacking Ukraine, likely after staging a false flag operation and claiming that Ukraine had broken it first; or insist on preconditions to the cease fire that will drag out negotiations and allow it to continue attacking Ukraine.

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In a case of supremely awkward timing, I arrived in Ukraine on the day the Trump-Zelensky Oval Office meeting went off the rails. I was having dinner with Ukrainian colleagues when our phones blew up with the news. In another case of ironic timing, I am here to do research for a book project on US military assistance, a major theme of the Oval Office rumble.

I’m writing this on a train rolling through the Ukrainian countryside. Spring is in the air here, with temperatures rising into the sixties and freshly plowed fields passing by outside the train window. But the mood is far from springlike.